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Short Term Fundamental Call- Britannia Industries Ltd.

Please find below mentioned short term fundamental stock for delivery purpose.

 

Company

CMP

Target

BSE Code

NSE Code

 Britannia Industries Ltd.

3446

3600

500825

BRITANNIA

 

Britannia Industries is one of India’s leading food companies with a 100 year legacy and among the most trusted food brands. Britannia’s product portfolio includes Biscuits, Bread, Cakes, Rusk and Dairy products including Cheese, Beverages, Milk and Yoghurt. Britannia products are available across the country in close to 5 million retail outlets and reach over 50% of Indian homes. Mr. Nusli Wadia is the Chairman of the company whereas Mr. Varun Berry is the MD of the company. Promoters’ holding is ~51% whereas LIC is the largest non-promoter shareholder (6%). Market cap of Britannia is Rs 82,270 cr.
 

Investment rationale

 

Rich history, prudent management & strong performance: Britannia is part of Wadia group that has rich business history stretching over 250 years. Mr. Varun Berry joined as Chief Operating Officer in 2013 and since then in past 7 years Britannia’s topline has almost doubled whereas bottomline shown ~4x growth. Company has been constantly gaining market share during the same period from Parle to become the largest player in biscuit segment.

 

Performance likely to improve going forward: After minor growth in past 3 quarters, company started Q4FY20 on positive note with healthy growth in first 2 months of Q4FY20. Despite being hit by lockdown in the last month of the quarter company reported 2.5%/4.1%/25.9% growth on revenue/EBITDA/PAT. Management estimates 7-10% loss of lockdown on topline and bottomline. Cost efficiency drive has resulted in minor rise EBITDA margins. Commodity prices are moderating at global level. We believe the growth that had picked in first 2 months of Q4FY20 is likely to further improve resulting in better Q1FY21.

 

Robust performance in lockdown: After initial shock of the lockdown, the Britannia was amongst the first to recover in category and also gained market share from other players. Company witnessed a revenue growth of 20% in April 20 & 28% in May 20 versus the corresponding months in the previous year.

 

Outlook and valuation: Rising distribution channels, moderation in commodity prices, improvement in cost efficiencies and focused marketing campaigns are likely to aid in yielding better results in coming quarters. At current price, the stock trades at 1-yr forward P/E multiple of 49.3x.​ 

 

Duration of recommendation: Short to Medium term.

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